It’s tough to know
-
on the one hand it’s a good team, published in a good journal, with quite high hazard ratios
-
on the other hand they are just talking about stable patients in general and not people with high Lp(a) (and your was really lowered a lot), the study was not a clinical trial but just an association study, etc
Below is the abstract from the paper (I could not access the whole paper).
Do you have the change in your levels of HDL (did it go up?) and Apo B (or LDL, do it/they go down)?
The mechanism by which they say that it increases risks seems to be connected to (vessel) inflammation - perhaps it could make sense to do some extra testing around that…!
Suggest you give your context, mention the new paper and ask Sam T via twitter - he is a world authority on Lp(a) and seems to respond to people’s questions quite often.
—-
Abstract
Despite intensive preventive cardiovascular disease (CVD) efforts, substantial residual CVD risk remains even for individuals receiving all guideline-recommended interventions. Niacin is an essential micronutrient fortified in food staples, but its role in CVD is not well understood. In this study, untargeted metabolomics analysis of fasting plasma from stable cardiac patients in a prospective discovery cohort (n = 1,162 total, n = 422 females) suggested that niacin metabolism was associated with incident major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Serum levels of the terminal metabolites of excess niacin, N1-methyl-2-pyridone-5-carboxamide (2PY) and N1-methyl-4-pyridone-3-carboxamide (4PY), were associated with increased 3-year MACE risk in two validation cohorts (US n = 2,331 total, n = 774 females; European n = 832 total, n = 249 females) (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval) for 2PY: 1.64 (1.10–2.42) and 2.02 (1.29–3.18), respectively; for 4PY: 1.89 (1.26–2.84) and 1.99 (1.26–3.14), respectively). Phenome-wide association analysis of the genetic variant rs10496731, which was significantly associated with both 2PY and 4PY levels, revealed an association of this variant with levels of soluble vascular adhesion molecule 1 (sVCAM-1). Further meta-analysis confirmed association of rs10496731 with sVCAM-1 (n = 106,000 total, n = 53,075 females, P = 3.6 × 10−18). Moreover, sVCAM-1 levels were significantly correlated with both 2PY and 4PY in a validation cohort (n = 974 total, n = 333 females) (2PY: rho = 0.13, P = 7.7 × 10−5; 4PY: rho = 0.18, P = 1.1 × 10−8). Lastly, treatment with physiological levels of 4PY, but not its structural isomer 2PY, induced expression of VCAM-1 and leukocyte adherence to vascular endothelium in mice. Collectively, these results indicate that the terminal breakdown products of excess niacin, 2PY and 4PY, are both associated with residual CVD risk. They also suggest an inflammation-dependent mechanism underlying the clinical association between 4PY and MACE.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-023-02793-8