I am sceptical. It’s a really nice thought that there is some sort of natural product which can lower glucose, lower LDL-C, improve insulin sensitivity etc. However, we know that Berberine has terrible absorption from the gut, so it’s not very clear whether it is even reaching the cells we care about and inhibiting AMPK. The last I heard, people now think it is affecting the microbiome to bring about its effects.
One major thing is missing from this comparison: you’re comparing a single active molecule drug vs a natural extract supplement with a complex mixture of compounds.
Metformin is: an FDA approved drug, decades of human trials, very well characterised side effects. It has cGMP manufacturing. It’s also very cheap.
Berberine is: not approved for anything, has a few small studies which are mostly from China (I wouldn’t say “robust” like the AI model did). Plus, the manufacturing quality is totally unknown. Whatever product you buy, you are placing a lot of trust in the company selling it. Most likely they obtained it as a bulk powder, then packaged and marketed it. Who knows where and how (pesticides etc) the original herbs were grown. You don’t have any assurance of whether the extract was properly done, whether the extraction solvents were removed properly, whether the herbs were fresh, or whether they sat in the factory in China collecting rat and cockroach droppings. Time and time again supplements are tested and often don’t contain what they say they do, or they’re found to have contaminants like heavy metals.
Here is NOW foods (not an unbiased source) testing a bunch of supplements and finding they have low concentrations of Berberine: https://www.nowfoods.com/healthy-living/articles/nows-testing-results-berberine-products-december-2023
Here is a study Variability in Potency Among Commercial Preparations of Berberine - PMC showing that many supplements contains a lot less than the label stated. Here’s another https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0731708522005829 again showing huge variance in the dose.
And none of these checked for heavy metals, solvents etc which could easily be present in a natural extract.
So for me, if deciding between the two, it’s a very easy choice.