I’m not the guy you asked, but the answer is like HFpEF. From hypertension and terrible metabolic health.
THANK YOU. Well said. This drives me crazy too. For example, in the UK, you can’t get a PCKS9i until you’ve had a heart attack. It boggles my mind. I have familial hypercholestrolemia and UK doctors just sorta shrug their shoulders and say “yeah but you’re young”. And I say “yeah but I’m building plaque right now”. They basically see it like “something had to kill you, so it might as well be this” ignoring the fact that if I have a heart attack, then the NHS would be paying for all sorts of expensive interventions to keep me alive. Total failure of preventative medicine.
We have to abandon this idea that LDL-C of anything higher than 70mg/dl is “normal”. As you said, the “normal” outcome of the status quo is a heart attack at 70-75, heart failure for your last few years and death before 80. That’s nowhere near good enough.
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Edit: the graph in the preview doesn’t really show the conclusion. The conclusion is that combination therapy is better than statin monotherapy.
Glad I’ve smashed my own LDL-C to lower than 40 mg/dl. If only I can do the same for Lp(a) soon!
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AnUser
#1727
It looks to me like most of the effect is driven by Lee et al, which looks like a cohort study.
AnUser
#1729
If it was done early it would be millions of deaths every year.
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AnUser
#1730
The age-standardized change is flat, doesn’t that suggest that there has been no increase?
Prof. Banach said, "Cardiovascular disease kills around 20 million people a year worldwide. Based on our previous analysis, we estimate that if combination therapy to reduce LDL-C was included in all treatment guidelines and implemented by doctors everywhere for patients with high cholesterol levels, it would prevent over 330,000 deaths a year among patients who have already suffered a heart attack, and almost 50,000 deaths alone in the U.S.
This is cause enough to advocate for Ezetemibe + statin.
Start everyone on EZ+statin early before they have developed plaque and save 20 million people a year worldwide. This should be a no-brainer, but for some reason it isn’t.
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adssx
#1732
No increase in CVD deaths in any age group, so why would it be HFpEF? It’s most likely just aging population (more people >70yo => higher share of CVD deaths vs other causes of deaths)
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adssx
#1733
The effect on all-cause mortality (OR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.67 to 0.97; P=.02) is insane! Ezetimibe 
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You said it. Specifically, “Now, we’ve basically used up the benefits of the improved treatment and the deaths are catching up again.” Though I know you’re going to try and weasel your way out of this.
So a better question is, "what happened in who were turning 40 in 2010 (i.e. those born in 1970).
I don’t find this convincing as an explanation for the sharp reversal in the mortality rate in 2010.
I wouldn’t be looking at what happened in 2010 that suddenly caused a bunch of deaths.
When you see a large change in the mortality rate, you should absolutely look first at the surrounding social or economic or disease factors - unemployment, war, covid, etc.
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I don’t need to weasel because what I wrote is still true. If you interpret that as “we are getting worse at treating CVD” then that’s entirely a problem with reading comprehension.
I am reporting what the authors of that statistical analysis study (where the graph came from) and the president of the AHA said when he presented those data. He talked about better AMI therapy (reperfusion), better cholesterol management, smoking cessation as contributing to the decreases, and HFpEF, diabetes contributing to the increase. The sex difference narrowing is because in the 1990s and early 2000s massive efforts were put into educating doctors that women have hearts and get heart disease too.
IMO, it seems that people are trying to imagine that one dramatic thing has happened which can explain everything. If you zoom out the Y axis, the changes are much more modest and noisy. That sudden, skyrocketing spike of 2010 is… nothing more than a return to the 2005 numbers. In fact, women are still better off in 2020 than 2005, according to the graph.
Of course you are entitled to your own beliefs, and if you don’t “buy” this version maybe you can submit your alternative hypotheses and data for peer review somewhere.
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