I don’t know if low CSF levels of melatonin are the cause of PD but there’s an easy way to check if melatonin is neuroprotective:
Sleep disturbances are an early symptom of PD. Especially rapid eye movement (REM) sleep behavior disorder (RBD). People with RBD act out their dreams. The vast majority of people with RBD develop PD or DLB in the 10 years following their RBD diagnosis.
The first line treatment of RBD is melatonin: Clinical trials in REM sleep behavioural disorder: challenges and opportunities 2020
Melatonin, for its more favourable side effect profile, is frequently preferred as initial therapy for RBD. In higher doses (6 to 18 mg at bedtime) melatonin improved frequency and severity of RBD symptoms in up to 70% of patients, as documented in several observational studies. Lower doses (2 mg slow release and 3 mg immediate release) in conjunction with a ‘30 min prior to bedtime, always at the same clock time’ dosing regimen showed improvement in over 90% of patients with iRBD in open-label trials. Unfortunately, a recent placebo-controlled trial using extended-release melatonin was also negative. The mechanism of action of melatonin in RBD is unclear, but the persistent effect after melatonin discontinuation is hypothesised to be due to action on the circadian system. Clinical synucleinopathies are mostly accompanied by a substantial dysfunction of the circadian system. Considering that endogenous melatonin signalling is dampened in synucleinopathies, one can hypothesise that melatonin may improve RBD via a restructuring and resynchronisation of circadian rhythmicity, a hypothesis that needs to be further studied.
The part in bold cites: A two-part, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of exogenous melatonin in REM sleep behaviour disorder 2010
Patients received placebo and 3 mg of melatonin daily in a cross-over design, administered between 22:00 h and 23:00 h over a period of 4 weeks.
Interestingly, the number of REM sleep epochs without muscle atonia remained lower in patients who took placebo during Part II after having received melatonin in Part I (–16% compared to baseline; P = 0.043). In contrast, patients who took placebo during Part I showed improvements in REM sleep muscle atonia only during Part II (i.e. during melatonin treatment).
Improvements after a discontinuation and a washout period hint at neuroprotection. So, I don’t know why melatonin is only considered symptomatic.
Also: could extended-release be worse than immediate release @John_Hemming? The XR trial failed: Prolonged–release melatonin in patients with idiopathic REM sleep behavior disorder 2020
In this 4-week, randomized, double–blind, placebo–controlled pilot study, 30 participants with polysomnography–confirmed iRBD were assigned to receive PRM 2 mg per day, PRM 6 mg per day, or placebo. Medication was administered orally 30 min before bedtime.
Our findings suggest that PRM may not be effective in treating RBD–related symptoms within the dose range used in this study. Further studies using doses higher than 6 mg per day are warranted.
Although the difference in the RBDQ-KR Factor 2 score decreased from 36.4 to 31.8 at 4 weeks after treatment with PRM 6 mg/day, the standard deviation was relatively high and its p → P value did not show a trend toward statistical significance (P = 0.477).
This XR trial also failed: Melatonin for Rapid Eye Movement Sleep Behavior Disorder in Parkinson’s disease: A Randomised Controlled Trial 2019, “Prolonged-release melatonin 4 mg did not reduce rapid eye movement sleep behavior disorder in PD.”
It should also be easy to look at longitudinal data: are people with RBD who take melatonin less likely to convert to PD than those who do not? Is there a dose–response relationship?